Trend Analysis:
In July, a downward movement may begin from the 1.1786 level (the closing price of the June monthly candle), targeting 1.1551 — the 14.6% retracement level (yellow dashed line). From this level, an upward market move is possible, with a target at 1.1710 — a historical resistance level (light blue dashed line).
Fig. 1 (Monthly Chart).
Indicator Analysis:
- Indicator-based analysis – downward
- Fibonacci levels – downward
- Volumes – downward
- Candlestick analysis – downward
- Trend analysis – downward
- Bollinger Bands – downward
Conclusion from the comprehensive analysis: a downward trend is possible.
Overall forecast for the EUR/USD monthly candle: the price is likely to show a downward trend, with no upper shadow on the monthly black candle (first week of the month – black), and the presence of a lower shadow (last week of the month – white).
Alternative Scenario:From the 1.1786 level (closing price of the June monthly candle), the price may start moving downward toward 1.1504 — a historical resistance level (light blue dashed line). From this level, an upward movement may begin toward the 1.1551 level — the 14.6% retracement level (yellow dashed line).
