The talks between Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump in Anchorage ended on a neutral note. Some agreements were likely reached, but any breakthrough lies in the future. Energy markets, being the most sensitive to politics, are cautiously pricing in optimism.
The euro opened the new week with a decline—today marks the first day after the 8th Fibonacci time line. According to the main scenario, a medium-term decline in the European currency could begin today. If it does not, the last chance will be tomorrow. However, if we do not see a bearish candle tomorrow either, the Fibonacci time periods will be canceled, and the market will take on a more complex form while waiting for a stronger driver.
For a downward trend to be triggered, the price must consolidate below the 1.1632 support level. The Marlin oscillator is moving sideways along the neutral zero line. The market is still waiting for clarifications regarding the president's meeting.
On the H4 chart, consolidation below 1.1632 will also mean a break below the MACD line, which will serve as a signal for decline. Here, too, the Marlin oscillator is in a neutral position. We are waiting for developments.
Upside targets: 1.1770 (MACD line on daily), 1.1868 – upper boundary of the price channel.
