The Dollar index is trading at the 61.8% retracement of the decline from 81 to 80.25. I believe that this upward bounce will be short-lived. I expect a new lower low below 80.25. This is a good place to go short with 81 as stop.
The Dollar index is above the Ichimoku cloud support but has resistance at 80.75-80.80. Price in a short-term up trend as it makes higher highs and higher lows from 80.25. A break below 80.55 will be the first short-term sell signal since the reversal at 81.
In the daily chart price is above the Ichimoku cloud and has bounced off the 38% retracement. However I believe that the Dollar index is very possible to fall as far as the 50% or even 61.8% retracement. Long-term bulls could use 80.25 as stop while bears should use 81 as stop. My strategy is to prefer short positions as long as price is below 81.
