Overview:
Since bulls have pushed further above the upper limit of both depicted bullish channels and the 79.6% Fibonacci level, the market looks quite overbought.
However, bullish pressure is still placed above 1.2550 (consolidation zone mid-line) compared to the previous week.
Successive lower highs were established within the wedge pattern. However, the market experienced a bullish breakout above 1.2550-1.2600 shortly after.
The market failed to hold above 1.2650 - 1.2680 (previous highs) resulting in the formation of a double-top pattern that calls for confirmation (daily closure below 1.2350).
On the other hand, the support level around 1.2350 (lower limit of the wedge pattern) and 1.2300 (79.6% Fibonacci level) have been providing support for successive weeks on the daily and weekly charts.
The recent weekly candlestick indicated bearish rejection of the weekly resistance at 1.3000 (a Shooting-Star weekly candlestick around the upper limit of the consolidation zone).
On a daily basis, as long as the USD/CAD pair keeps trading above 1.2550 (Intraday support level), an initial bullish swing towards 1.2800 should be expected (upper limit of the current consolidation range).
In the long term, a projected target for the USD/CAD wedge pattern would be located near the level of 1.3050 (the origin of the last bearish swing initiated on March 2009).
Trading recommendations:
As anticipated, risky traders should wait for bullish breakout above 1.2550 for a continuation buy entry (was triggered Yesterday).
T/P to be placed at price levels of 1.2740, 1.2800, and finally 1.3040.
