Technical summary:
We still favor more downside movment towards 1.4725 in wave c of the expanded flat correction that has been unfolding since wave (i) topped at 1.5467. That said, it will only take a break above 1.5109 and more importantly a break above resistance at 1.5208 to indicate that wave (ii) ended at 1.4927 and wave (iii) higher towards at least 1.6300 is developing. As long as resistance at 1.5109 is able to protect the upside, we will look for a final decline in wave c closer to 1.4725 to terminate the expanded flat. It will only take a break above 1.5109 to indicate that wave (ii) has terminated and wave (iii) higher is developing.
Trading recommendation:
Our stop and revers at 1.5080 was hit. Now, we are long on EUR. As we still can see more downside pressure, we will place our stop at 1.5020. If our stop gets hit, we will re-buy EUR at 1.4750.
