The market was pushed lower after breaking below major demand levels around 1.2100 and 1.2000 where historical bottoms were previously hit back in July 2012 and June 2010.
EUR/USD bears have already pushed the price slightly below the monthly demand level at 1.0550 (established on January 1997). Bullish recovery was expressed shortly after.
April's monthly candlestick came as a bullish engulfing one. However, the next monthly candlesticks (May, June, and July) reflect recent bearish rejection being expressed around 1.1450.
In the long term, a projection target will be still located at 0.9450 if a bearish breakdown of the monthly demand level at 1.0550 occurs soon.
A bullish corrective movement towards 1.1500 will be possible only if May's monthly high of 1.1465 gets breached (a low probability).
After such a long bearish rally, which started around the level of 1.1300, bullish rejection took place at 1.0570 (monthly demand level).
Multiple ascending bottoms were established around the levels of 1.0470, 1.0550, and 1.0850. These levels corresponded to the daily uptrend depicted on the chart.
Further bullish pressure was observed until bearish rejection was applied around 1.1400 (long-term double-top reversal pattern).
A daily closure below the level of 1.1150 brought EUR/USD to 1.1000 again. A bearish daily closure below 1.0950 enabled a quick bearish decline towards 1.0850 and 1.0750.
Evident bullish recovery was expressed last week after hitting the level of 1.0800. Since then, bulls have been trying to bring a bullish corrective movement towards 1.1000 and 1.1150 where the backside of the broken uptrend is located.
Bearish rejection was anticipated around the price zone of 1.1150-1.1180 as it corresponds to the backside of the broken uptrend (depicted on the chart).
On Friday, significant bearish reaction has been manifested off 1.1150 resulting in two consecutive bearish engulfing daily candlesticks.
The nearest bearish destination to meet the EUR/USD pair would be located at 1.0980 as long as the price level of 1.1150 remains defended by the market bears.
On the other hand, daily closure above 1.1150 threatens the previously mentioned bearish scenario. It may allow a quick bullish swing towards 1.1270 and 1.1300.
Trading recommendations:
Conservative traders could have taken a valid SELL entry around the recently established supply zone (1.1150-1.1170). S/L should be placed above 1.1200 while T/P levels should be located at 1.1100, 1.0850, and 1.0700.
