The euro is trading above the weekly pivot point of 1.2324, this supportive dynamic keeps the pair within an upward trend and it is possible that the pair will continue the view up to 1.2408. This level is a strong weekly resistance, daily fractal is at 1.2410. Furthermore, given that there is a downward pressure, only break of 1.2324 could extend the fall towards 1.2280 and 1.2240.
Our outlook remains bearish for this pair, the indicators show exhaustion in volatility and a downward sequence.
It seems that this pair is trying to form a rising wedge pattern. This is usually a bearish signal and sell signal is confirmed, it is possible that the upward rally reaches 1.2526; after we enter this area we will begin selling.
Our stop loss is placed above the maximum of the last week.
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