Overview
According to the shown H4 chart, there is no change in the USD/JPY outlook. A deeper fall is still expected as long as the 118.83 minor resistance holds to the 116.13 key support level. Price actions from 125.85 are still viewed as a sideways consolidation pattern. Breaks above the level of 118.83 will turn bias back to the upside to the 120.33 support turned into resistance first. Still, a sustained break of 116.13 will indicate that it is deeper medium-term correction. At this point, we are viewing it as a sideways pattern and we expect strong support around 116.13 to contain the downside. However, a sustained break of 116.13 will indicate that the corrective fall from 125.85 would extend to 38.2% retracement of 75.56 (the low of 2011) to 125.85 at 106.63 and lower.
Daily Pivots: (S1) 116.91; (P) 117.82; (R1) 118.34
