The euro hit the day's high at 1.3047 but then fell significantly without losing a slight upward trend in the short-term. Daily fractal can be found at 1.2940 and below the line of 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, both levels serve as support to the pair.
Meanwhile, the euro is above the moving average of 200 periods, which means that every pullback to support levels above the moving average is signal for buying.
Therefore, we recommend buying at 1.2940 with targets at 1.3170. The MACD and trend indicators are showing bullish signs.
In the long-term, according to fundamental analysis, we are far from reaching a solution to the debt problem. Upcoming Greek elections could cause a lot of worries. It is just a matter of time before people start to get nervous and pessimistic again about Europe and the euro which will bring us back to the levels of 1.25 and 1.20.
FX.co ★ EUR/USD Bullish Outlook for September 21, 2012 (Daily Strategy)
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