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AUD/USD Elliott Wave
Last week the AUD/USD pair was trading in a downward move, developing impulsive wave (1) (coloured green) of the bigger (C) wave (coloured orange). During the Friday's Asian and European sessions, we could observe ascending movement from 1.0427 towards the 1.0518 and we can consider this move as the end of the (2) corrective wave (coloured green). Therefore, during the early New York session, the AUD/USD pair did not manage to hold this level and the price retrace back to 1.0440 level when development of the (3) wave starts. Today this major pair continued trading in a bearish mood and we are expecting to see the price lower this week. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 should retrace 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci Extensions (1.0624-1.0367-1.0518), with Take Profit at 1.0152(161.8% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use resistance at 1.0519 level as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor the U.S. FOMC Member Williams Speaks and AUD RBA Financial Stability Review data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1.0370 (S2) 1.0406 (S1) 1.0428 (PP) 1.0465 (R1) 1.0501 (R2) 1.0523 (R3) 1.0560
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 1.0380 with Stop Loss 1.0519 and Take Profit at 1.0152 are recommended.
