Wave summary:
Our preferred count shows that an expanded flat wave (iv) is building. We have seen wave a and b and wave c lower towards the 118.00 - 118.38 area is now unfolding from 123.35. This count means resistance at 123.35 will need to cap the upside for a break below minor support at 122.03 and more importantly support at 121.16 confirming the expected decline to the 118.00 - 118.38 area.
A break above 123.35 will indicate that wave b is not yet complete, but the potential upside should be very limited.
Trading recommendation:
We are short EUR from 122.10 with stop placed at 123.45 and take profit at 118.50. If you are not short EUR yet, then sell near 123.35 and use the same stop at 123.45.
