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FX.co ★ Philly Fed Index Turns Positive For First Time Since August

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typeContent_19130:::2024-02-15T16:19:00

Philly Fed Index Turns Positive For First Time Since August

In the month of February, the Philadelphia area has experienced a significant revival in its manufacturing activities, as revealed in a report by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

The report announced a rise in the Philly Fed's diffusion index for current general activity to 5.2 in February, a positive increase from a negative 10.6 in January, showing signs of growth. The projected rise was expected to only reach negative 8.0, thus it surpassed expectations.

This unexpected growth has propelled the Philly Fed Index back to positive territory, a feat not seen since August.

This increase is primarily due to a notable surge in shipments. The index for shipments escalated to a positive 10.7 from a negative 6.2 in January. While the new orders index also recorded a significant increase, it remained in the negative at negative 5.2 in February, rising from negative 17.9 in the previous month.

In contrast, the employment sector saw a decline. The number of employees index fell to a negative 10.3 in February from a negative 1.8 percent in January, indicating a further decrease in employment.

Additionally, the report documented a rise in the prices paid index to 16.6 in February from 11.3 in January. However, there was a slight dip in the prices received index from 6.3 to 6.2.

Despite these challenges, the Philly Fed's future projection for overall growth in the next six months remains positive. The diffusion index for future general activity increased to a positive 7.2 in February from a negative 4.0 in January, largely driven by sharp increases in future new orders and future shipments index.

In a related development, a separate report by the New York Federal Reserve revealed a slower rate of contraction in regional manufacturing activity in February. The general business conditions index spiked to a negative 2.4, a substantial improvement from a negative 43.7 in January. This increase still indicates contraction; however, it fared better than the projected negative 15.0 percent.

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