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FX.co ★ Fed's Goolsbee Says Data Do Not Suggest U.S. Recession Yet

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typeContent_19130:::2024-08-05T17:53:00

Fed's Goolsbee Says Data Do Not Suggest U.S. Recession Yet

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee remarked on Monday that recent weaker-than-expected job data and other economic indicators do not point to the U.S. economy being in a recession yet. Furthermore, he indicated that monetary policy need not remain restrictive if the economy is not overheating.

"Job numbers came in weaker than expected, but it's not yet looking like a recession," Goolsbee stated during an interview with CNBC.

"I believe it's essential to be forward-looking when determining the direction of the economy," he added.

The Labor Department's report released on Friday revealed that employment growth in the U.S. for July was significantly below projections.

Non-farm payrolls rose by 114,000 jobs in July, falling short of the anticipated increase of 175,000 jobs.

Last week, the Federal Reserve opted to keep the target range for the federal funds rate between 5.25% and 5.50%, acknowledging "some further progress" towards its inflation goals.

Initially, investors had widely anticipated the Fed would start reducing interest rates in September. Goolsbee suggested that current interest rates are "restrictive."

"However, if the economy is not overheating, there is no need for monetary policy to be tightening or restrictive in real terms," he stated.

"The Federal Reserve's mandate is clear: maximize employment, stabilize prices, and ensure financial stability. That's our focus," Goolsbee affirmed. "If conditions start to deteriorate in any of these areas, we will address them."

Goolsbee's remarks were made on a day marked by a global market sell-off, spearheaded by Japan's Nikkei index. The Nikkei 225 Index experienced its most substantial drop since "Black Monday" in October 1987.

Concerns about the U.S. economy entering a recession, fueled by last Friday's disappointing jobs report, significantly impacted international markets.

Compounding the weaker market sentiment were the Bank of Japan's recent decision to raise interest rates and ongoing tensions in the Middle East.

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