The latest update from the Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow model indicates a modest slowdown in the United States economic growth for the second quarter of 2025. Released on June 27, 2025, the current projection stands at a 2.9% growth rate, a decrease from the previous forecast of 3.4% recorded earlier this quarter.
The GDPNow model is a pivotal tool that provides real-time estimates of the U.S. economic activity. The adjustment from 3.4% to 2.9% growth reflects shifting economic conditions and potential headwinds that may have cooled economic momentum in recent weeks. While this represents a decline, a growth rate of 2.9% still suggests steady, albeit slower, expansion.
Economists and market analysts will be closely watching upcoming data releases and economic indicators to understand the reasons behind this revision. Investors and policymakers alike rely on such forecasts to guide financial decisions and strategies as they navigate the nuanced landscape of the U.S. economy.