In an update that bucks the trend of recent economic stagnation, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's GDPNow model estimate for the U.S. economy has ticked upward. Data released on July 3, 2025, shows a modest increase in the annualized growth rate, up from the previous estimate of 2.5% to a marginally higher 2.6% for the second quarter of 2025.
This slight uptick in the GDPNow estimate reflects incremental economic growth and may signal an overall positive trend for the U.S. economy. The GDPNow forecast provides a real-time snapshot of the economy’s health by factoring in data such as consumer spending, trade balance, and investment, making it a closely watched indicator by economists and policymakers alike.
While the movement from 2.5% to 2.6% is relatively moderate, it demonstrates a subtle resilience in the U.S. economy despite broader global uncertainties. As the second quarter comes to a close, all eyes will be on the subsequent indicators and analyses to see if this nascent positive trend continues in the coming months.
