The U.S. economy may be experiencing a mild deceleration, according to the latest GDPNow forecast released by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. As of August 19, 2025, the third-quarter GDP forecast has been revised downward to 2.3%, a slight decrease from the previous estimate of 2.5%.
This adjustment reflects nuanced economic conditions as the country navigates various macroeconomic factors influencing growth. The slight dip in the GDP forecast suggests a cautious approach as the economy stabilizes in the third quarter of 2025. Analysts are closely watching to see how ongoing developments in consumption, investments, and trade influence this forecast in the weeks to come.
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model, used for real-time tracking of economic growth, acts as an insightful guide for economists and policymakers. The change, although modest, serves as a reminder of the dynamic nature of the U.S. economy as it adapts to global economic currents and domestic pressures.
