FX.co ★ US Inflation Expectations Ease Slightly in October

In October 2025, the median inflation expectations in the United States decreased to 3.2% for the one-year outlook, down from 3.4% in September, which had represented a five-month peak. Inflation expectations for the three-year and five-year forecasts remained stable at 3.0%, indicating consistent long-term sentiment. Home price growth predictions have been steady at 3.0% for the past five months. Conversely, predictions for commodity prices in the coming year have shown a decline, with gas expected to decrease by 0.7 percentage points to 3.5%, and food expected to drop by 0.1 percentage point to 5.7%. On the other hand, anticipated costs for certain significant expenses have increased. Participants projected that college education costs would rise by 8.2% (+1.2 percentage points), healthcare costs would grow by 9.4% (+0.1 percentage points, marking the highest since February 2023), and rent would see an increase of 7.2% (+0.2 percentage points).