U.S. nonfarm payrolls are anticipated to increase by 50,000 in September 2025, a rise from the 22,000 recorded in August, further indicating a moderating labor market. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.3%. Additionally, average hourly earnings are projected to grow by 0.3% for the month, maintaining the annual rate at 4.7%. The release of the September jobs report, initially slated for October 3, was postponed due to the most extended federal government shutdown in U.S. history. Furthermore, the release of the October employment report has been cancelled, as the household survey data from the Current Population Survey could not be collected during the October 2025 reference period because of a funding lapse. The Bureau of Labor Statistics has confirmed that the household survey cannot be reconstructed or collected retrospectively.