In a recent update from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, the GDPNow model's forecast for the fourth quarter of 2025 was slightly revised downward to 4.0%, according to the data released on November 25, 2025. This represents a small decline from the previous estimate of 4.2%, which had been the standing indicator earlier in the quarter.
The GDPNow model is a real-time tracking tool employed by the Atlanta Fed to estimate the growth or contraction of the U.S. economy as measured by the Gross Domestic Product. This minor adjustment in the forecast may indicate subtle shifts in economic activities or expectations as the quarter progresses. Analysts and market participants often look to these updates to gauge the economic pulse and potential adjustments in fiscal and monetary policy.
Despite the downward revision, a 4.0% growth still reflects a robust economy. However, the watchful eye of investors, economists, and policy-makers will remain fixed on forthcoming economic data releases to assess if any further adjustments are warranted or if the downward trend will be sustained into 2026.
