The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s closely watched GDPNow model is estimating U.S. real GDP growth at an annualized 3.7% for the second quarter of 2026, unchanged from its previous reading. The latest update, published on 7 May 2026, indicates that the model’s view of near-term economic momentum has remained stable so far this quarter.
With both the prior and current estimates fixed at 3.7% for Q2 2026, the data suggest neither a notable acceleration nor a slowdown in the Atlanta Fed’s real-time growth tracking. While GDPNow is not an official forecast, markets and analysts often use it as a high-frequency gauge of U.S. economic activity ahead of the government’s formal GDP release.
The lack of revision in the model’s estimate may reinforce expectations that the U.S. economy is growing at a solid, above-trend pace in the second quarter, though investors will be watching upcoming data releases to see whether subsequent GDPNow updates confirm or challenge this trajectory.
