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FX.co ★ US 1-Year Inflation Expectations Edge Lower in May, NY Fed Survey Shows

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typeContent_19130:::2026-06-08T15:00:00

US 1-Year Inflation Expectations Edge Lower in May, NY Fed Survey Shows

US consumers’ short-term inflation expectations eased slightly in May, according to the latest New York Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations, offering a tentative sign of stabilizing price pressures.

The survey showed that the median 1-year inflation expectation dipped to 3.5% in May 2026, down from 3.6% in April 2026. While the change is modest, it marks a continued movement away from the higher inflation readings seen in previous years and may be viewed as a cautiously positive signal for policymakers monitoring inflation psychology.

The data, updated on 8 June 2026, will be closely watched by markets and the Federal Reserve, as anchored consumer expectations are seen as key to preventing a renewed acceleration in prices. Investors will now look to forthcoming inflation releases and Fed communications for confirmation that this softening in expectations aligns with broader disinflation trends.

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