The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model slightly lowered its estimate for U.S. economic growth in the third quarter of 2026, with the nowcast easing to 5.0% from a prior reading of 5.1%. Both estimates refer to the same period, the third quarter of 2026, and the latest revision was published on 25 September 2026.
The marginal downgrade suggests that incoming data have modestly softened the model’s outlook, but still point to robust real GDP expansion. While the adjustment is small, such incremental revisions are closely watched by markets and analysts as they refine expectations for the strength of U.S. activity and potential implications for monetary policy in the second half of the year.\/body