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Trader Journals:::2024-10-06T05:09:09

GBP/AUD

GBPAUD Pair Analysis Current Market Sentiment The GBPAUD pair seems to be experiencing a weakening bullish trend. The price has been unable to cross the resistance level (R1) at 1.9642, despite earlier upward movement above two moving average lines. Instead, after reaching a high of 1.9572, the price has declined and is now trading below the pivot point (PP) at 1.9517. If the price fails to maintain its bullish momentum, it could potentially drop to the support level (S1) at 1.9435. However, there seem to be more chances for the price to increase compared to a downward movement. Technical Indicators Despite the weakening bullish trend, the two moving average lines have not yet provided a signal for a trend reversal. The overall market structure still adheres to the higher high – higher low condition. However, if the price falls below the pivot point (PP) at 1.9517, the structure could shift into a lower low – lower high configuration. Should the price reach the support level (S1) at 1.9435 and break below the low of 1.9393, this would signal a significant change in the overall structure. The currency pair has maintained its upward trend but has struggled to surpass the previous high of 1.9695. For the current major structure to remain intact, the price needs to push towards the resistance level at 1.9642. Momentum Indicators The Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator suggests a signal for downward momentum, as the histogram volume has not widened above the zero line, which indicates a weakening uptrend. Similarly, the Stochastic indicator supports the continuation of the downward movement for the GBPAUD pair. Market Behavior This week’s pattern presents a new scenario for traders. Analyzing market trends reveals that traders have historically maintained a strong and stable presence. This security indicates that since the start of the week, a reduction in merchant regard can be observed. The market, much like a living organism, exhibits back-and-forth movement, where buyers and merchants participate in an ongoing dance of organic demand. Currently, there is a highlighted inflexibility on the selling side, which emphasizes the strength of selling opportunities. A short-term sell order targeting 1.9205 could be adequate; however, it’s essential to keep an eye on upcoming news events that might impact this trend. Conclusion In summary, while the GBPAUD pair still shows a bullish tendency, the weakening momentum suggests cautious trading. The price is testing critical resistance and support levels, and traders should stay alert to market shifts and news events that could influence the pair’s direction.
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