The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model is signaling stable economic momentum in the United States, with its estimate for first-quarter 2026 real GDP growth unchanged at 3.1%. The latest reading, updated on 24 February 2026, shows no revision from the previous 3.1% projection for the same period.
The flat reading suggests incoming data releases have, so far, neither strengthened nor weakened the model’s outlook for early 2026 growth. With the GDPNow estimate holding steady, markets and policymakers are likely to interpret the signal as one of continued, moderate expansion rather than acceleration or slowdown in near-term U.S. economic activity.
