FX.co ★ USD/CAD
Trader Journals:::
USD/CAD
I am already seeing a potential bottom forming in the currency pair, but I know from experience that trying to pinpoint exact market bottoms or tops is a thankless and risky task, as no one can ever be certain where they will appear, and such attempts often lead to unnecessary complications. I believe that in the current market situation, the structure is beginning to show signs of exhaustion on the downside, and I am therefore inclined to consider a long position. However, I also recognize that on the higher timeframes, a southerly zigzag pattern is still unfolding, which makes it unwise to trade aggressively against the broader movement. I am aware that without localized attempts at upward correction, it is difficult to justify entering short positions, as the market still needs to test and confirm key support areas. I notice that trading is taking place around the D1 trend line, and I specifically do not want to sell into any potential breakout of this structure. I have identified a support zone around 0.5700 on the H1 chart, which I consider critical for monitoring future developments. I understand that recent southerly zigzags on H1 have been frequent, yet I am not placing any buy orders prematurely. I am instead marking this zone and waiting patiently to observe how the candles behave around it. I will pay close attention to the formation of a bullish engulfing pattern, as I believe that such a signal would confirm buyer strength. If this occurs, I plan to open a buy position with a stop-loss placed just beyond the engulfing candle, aiming for a corrective rise toward the 0.5735 level. I prefer to act based on confirmation rather than anticipation, as I know the market rewards patience and disciplined execution.