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Trader Journals:::2025-12-24T00:21:24

EUR/USD

Market Analysis In this EURUSD H1 chart, the market shows a clear transition from consolidation to a steady bullish trend. Price spent several sessions moving sideways, creating a base of support around the lower range, before buyers gradually took control and pushed the pair higher. The upward slope of recent candles and the price trading above the 200‑period moving average signal growing bullish sentiment. Each new swing high is being formed slightly above the previous one, confirming a structure of higher highs and higher lows. This pattern reflects that buyers are willing to step in at progressively higher prices, an important sign of trending conditions rather than random noise. Price Action and Liquidity Price action reveals how liquidity is being absorbed and released in this market. Earlier, small-bodied candles and overlapping ranges indicated balanced order flow, where buyers and sellers were relatively matched. As the trend emerged, candles began to close nearer to their highs, suggesting that buy orders were aggressively consuming available sell liquidity. The brief pullbacks visible in the chart represent moments when early buyers take profit and new sellers test the uptrend. However, as long as these retracements fail to break previous swing lows, they show that liquidity from sellers is being absorbed and used as fuel for another leg up. This dynamic between pullbacks and continuations is crucial for understanding where institutional orders might be resting and how the market prepares for the next impulsive move. Candlestick Behavior and Confirmation The behavior of individual candlesticks provides tactical confirmation of the broader trend. Strong bullish candles with relatively small wicks indicate decisive buying, while the occasional bearish or indecisive candle highlights temporary hesitation rather than a full reversal. In this chart, each bearish candle that appears after a strong impulse is followed by renewed buying pressure, confirming that sellers cannot maintain control. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering above the midline around 60 further supports bullish momentum without yet showing extreme overbought conditions. Traders can use these candlestick signals, combined with the RSI, to confirm that the trend remains intact and that pullbacks are more likely to be opportunities to join the move rather than signs of exhaustion.

EUR/USD

Trade Setup and Risk Management A logical trade setup in this context would focus on aligning entries with the dominant bullish trend. Traders might wait for a modest pullback toward a minor support level or the moving average, then look for a bullish candlestick pattern—such as a strong engulfing bar or a clear rejection wick—to confirm renewed buying interest. Entry could be placed just above the confirming candle’s high, with a stop loss set below the recent swing low to protect against a deeper correction. Risk management is essential: risking only a small percentage of account equity on each trade helps withstand inevitable losing trades. Target levels can be projected using recent swing highs or measured moves, aiming for a reward‑to‑risk ratio of at least 2:1. This disciplined approach allows traders to participate in the trend while maintaining control over downside exposure. Conclusion Overall, this EURUSD H1 chart illustrates how combining market analysis, price action, and candlestick behavior leads to a structured trading plan. The established pattern of higher highs and higher lows, supported by bullish candles and a firm RSI, points toward a market where buyers remain in control. By reading the interplay of liquidity through pullbacks and impulses, traders can identify where higher‑probability entries are likely to occur. The key is never to rely on a single signal; instead, wait for multiple forms of confirmation and pair them with strict risk management. In doing so, traders transform a simple chart into a framework for consistent, disciplined decision‑making in the forex market.
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