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Trader Journals:::2026-04-26T11:22:43

CL/Crude Oil

#CL Timeframe H4

CL/Crude Oil

Crude Oil WTI (CL) chart on the H4 timeframe, the current price structure reflects a transition phase from a strong uptrend towards a more neutral sideways condition with medium-term downward pressure. The use of the 100 MA (blue line) and 200 MA (red line) helps clarify this dynamics, especially in reading changes in momentum and price equilibrium areas. In the previous phase, the price moved in a fairly solid uptrend, marked by the price consistently staying above the 100 MA and 200 MA, as well as the upward slope of both moving averages. This indicates buyer dominance in the medium to long term. However, after reaching a peak in the 115–117 area, a strong rejection occurred triggering a sharp decline. This decline not only broke the higher high structure in the short term but also pushed the price down through the 100 MA, which usually signals the beginning of a bullish momentum weakening. Currently, the 100 MA appears to be flattening out to slightly declining, while the 200 MA is still trending upwards but with a gradually flattening slope. This is a classic characteristic of a distribution or consolidation phase after a long uptrend. The price has attempted several times to move back above the 100 MA but failed to sustain, indicating that this area now functions as a dynamic resistance. Meanwhile, the 200 MA is starting to act as a significant dynamic support, as the price has approached that line several times and bounced off. Looking at the horizontal support and resistance lines, there are several clear key levels. The 98.50–101.20 area is an important resistance, as it was previously a distribution area and is also close to the 100 MA. Whenever the price approaches this zone, selling pressure tends to reappear. Above that, the 105.60 level becomes the next stronger resistance, which was previously a support before being broken below. If the price manages to break through and hold above this area, there is a chance to continue the recovery towards the 112 to 117 area, although this scenario requires a strong catalyst. On the downside, the nearest support is in the range of 90.10 to 87.56, which has been tested several times and still able to withstand declines. A clean break below this area will open up further downside to the 82.80 to 80.55 level, which is the next support and a significant demand area from the previous structure. If selling pressure continues to break through that area, the medium-term bias could clearly turn bearish. The latest price movement shows an attempt to rebound from the support area towards the resistance around the 100 MA, but there is no strong breakout confirmation yet. As long as the price remains between the 100 MA and 200 MA, and trapped in a fairly wide horizontal range, the market conditions tend to be choppy and less ideal for trend following. Traders usually wait for one of two confirmations: a breakout above the main resistance with strong volume and momentum, or a breakdown below the key support indicating a continuation of selling pressure. Overall, the current bias can be considered neutral with a slight bearish tendency as long as the price is below the 100 MA. Shifting back to a bullish bias requires a convincing reclaim above the 100 MA and holding above the 100–105 resistance zone. Conversely, repeated failures in that area will strengthen the distribution scenario and open up the possibility of further decline.
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