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Trader Journals:::2026-04-30T05:49:30

CL/Crude Oil

#CL Timeframe H4

CL/Crude Oil

The movement of WTI crude oil (#CL) on the H4 timeframe shows a significant change in market structure after experiencing deep bearish pressure. Technical analysis using the 100 Moving Average (MA 100), 200 Moving Average (MA 200), as well as horizontal support and resistance lines indicate that the market is in a transitional phase towards a medium-term bullish trend after a long accumulation period. At the beginning of the movement, the oil price experienced a sharp decline bringing it down to the area around 82.90–83.00. This decline occurred impulsively, marked by large bearish candles indicating short-term seller dominance. However, after reaching that area, the price started to lose downward momentum and entered a consolidation phase lasting quite a while above the major support. This phase formed an important foundation for the subsequent trend reversal. The MA 200 depicted by the red line serves as a long-term trend indicator. The chart shows that after a period of weakness, the price managed to move back above the MA 200. This event holds strong technical significance as it signifies a shift in sentiment from bearish to neutral to bullish. The upward slope of the MA 200 indicates that long-term selling pressure has subsided and the market is starting to build a more stable uptrend. The MA 100 shown by the blue line provides an insight into medium-term momentum. After moving downwards previously, the MA 100 started to turn upwards and is above the MA 200, creating a bullish alignment configuration often considered a continuation signal of an uptrend. As long as the price remains above the MA 100, the medium-term bullish structure can be said to be intact. A pullback towards the MA 100 in this condition tends to be an attractive technical area for buyers to accumulate again. From the perspective of horizontal support and resistance, the 109.00–110.60 area is the nearest resistance currently being tested by the price. This level holds high significance as it previously acted as a distribution zone before a significant decline. Price reaction in that area indicates temporary selling pressure, but the bullish strength formed since the middle of the chart shows that buyers still have the opportunity to break out if the momentum is maintained. The next resistance is around 113.90, which is the previous peak area and also a major resistance. A breakthrough above this zone will be a strong confirmation of the continuation of the bullish trend and open up room for further price increases. This area also holds important psychological value as it marks the boundary between the recovery phase and a fully matured uptrend. On the downside, the first support is around 105.70, which previously acted as a consolidation point before a strong rally. This area now functions as a minor support maintaining the short-term uptrend structure. As long as the price can hold above this level, the bullish bias remains dominant. Stronger support is seen in the range of 99.50 close to the MA 100 line. The confluence between horizontal support and moving average makes this zone the main defense area for buyers in case of a deeper correction. The next major support is around 90.90 in line with the position of the MA 200. A decline to this area can still be considered a healthy correction as long as there is no significant breakthrough below it. In terms of price action, the current oil price movement shows a healthy bullish impulsive character. The gradual rally with relatively shallow pullbacks reflects consistent buying interest. Rises following a long accumulation phase often indicate a market cycle shift from distribution to trend expansion. In conclusion, the technical condition of #CL on the H4 timeframe indicates a strengthening bullish bias. The price position above the MA 100 and MA 200 confirms buyer dominance in the medium to long term. The resistance around 110.60 is a decisive area for the next direction; a valid breakout has the potential to extend the uptrend towards the next major resistance. However, if the price faces rejection in that area, a technical correction towards the nearest support is still likely to occur without damaging the main bullish structure. As long as the price remains above the MA 200, the crude oil outlook still leans towards a continuation of the uptrend with evolving higher highs and higher lows pattern.
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