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Trader Journals:::2026-06-03T05:50:46

USD/JPY

USDJPY Intraday Forecast: We are currently analyzing the price movements of the USD/JPY currency pair. Today, December 11th, the price started in an uptrend that began on December 7th at the 159.905 level, showing an upward trend. According to the daily chart, the immediate target is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 166.243, which presents an excellent opportunity for potential buyers. Trend support on the hourly chart of the USD/JPY pair is currently trading at 163.883, limiting the movement. An uptrend is expected between 163.172 and 163.897, and we will open a buy position with a target of 164.621. If the price breaks above this point, we will consider selling with a stop-loss order at 163.172. Conversely, we will also consider selling if the price stabilizes at 163.172. The buy position was successful, and the set target was achieved.

USD/JPY

The current moving averages are 164.143 and 164.793, and the price is currently trading above the Bollinger Bands. Both the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Stochastic Oscillator are bullish, but the RSI is relatively weak, indicating uncertainty about future growth. Monitoring these two moving averages will help clarify whether the price will rise or pull back. An uptrend would target the upper Bollinger Band at 166.493, which could lead to a pullback. Conversely, a downtrend would target the lower Bollinger Band at 160.843. Last week, the dollar fell by more than 500 pips, and traders are testing the original boundaries, making market movements difficult to predict immediately. This week, based on indicators suggesting a continuation of the uptrend, I plan to trade in the range of 163.043 to 164.543. Due to the high volatility of the market, I will act cautiously and wait until the market stabilizes.
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