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Trader Journals:::2026-06-23T10:37:05

EUR/USD

EURUSD: The price movement of the EUR/USD currency pair will be examined and discussed. As is well known, stagnation is less common than volatility. Due to a variety of facts, we can anticipate changes in the direction of the euro and the dollar this week. The euro tries to break the local ascending channel with two reversal candlesticks, according to daily charts, indicating an initial dip of up to 1.14932. The pair is in the trading range of 1.14932-1.14932 due to the possible reversal and growth, and volatility is likely to continue. If the US GDP is less than expected, expect the dollar to dip for a day or two before rising again. For significant dollar losses to occur next week, all-around bad news is needed, highlighting personal consumption expenditures, which might put greater strain on the economy than GDP. On Monday, the EUR/USD pair is likely to be flat. Similar to daily patterns, a fresh green channel may appear on H4 during the sideways movement. Growth control is at 1.14932, with initial objectives at 1.14932 and possible purchasing up to 1.14932. The primary goals reach 1.14932, which could see a reversal. Although the current trend is beneficial, we should consider potential future declines in the EUR/USD pair. The RSI has returned to the neutral zone, and the EUR/USD pair has ceased to grow in a corrective manner. This is due to the fact that trading techniques heavily rely on statistics and forecasts. A return to the downward trend is shown by the declining trend line, which limits future growth. Sales trading is an attractive proposition as the pair is likely to drop into the year's lows.
EURUSD: I want to talk about how the EUR/USD currency pair is currently behaving. It's unclear what you mean when you say that the US dollar's decline is caused by the country's complicated political landscape and the impending presidential elections. I anticipated that the US dollar would rise to previously unheard-of heights, perhaps because of the intensity of the impending race, but it is too soon to credit this to the polls. But soon, the dollar's speculative bubbles and hidden weaknesses would come to light. The EUR/USD price should ideally drop to at least 1.14076, and a quick decline might perhaps reach 1.12086. To prolong the bearish price tag, a small modification is required. The US dollar had a negative trading experience last week, declining throughout the whole market range. That occurred in the midst of important press releases, such as the speech by the leader of the Federal Reserve system. Following the announcement, market pressure on the dollar increased. The MACD indicator exceeded its signal line and demonstrated a notable rise in the higher purchasing zone. The effectiveness of the mirror level 1.14996 was proved when it changed from resistance to support and approached from above, indicating an upcoming increase that occurred in March. Caution is probably necessary, though, as indications point to a stop in purchases and the possibility of intraday sales. Over a longer period of time, the CCI indicator moved into the higher overbought range, indicating a possible fall. A strong resistance zone is indicated by the Fibonacci levels (50 to 61.8) and the revised February maximum. A corrective downturn is more likely in a three-wave growth cycle if the first and third waves are almost equal. It is expected that closing prices and an ascending line from below will signal a slide to the support level of 1.15566. Right now, purchasing seems unfeasible. After the fall of the US dollar, similar corrective movements are probably in store for other key pairs.

EUR/USD

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