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Trader Journals:::2026-07-05T12:11:35

XAU/USD, GOLD

XAU/USD Gold awaits the next trigger, which will be the US CPI and FOMC minutes. Expectations for year-end Fed tightening are lowered by a weak NFP report. After payrolls fell short of expectations, the US dollar is headed for a weekly loss. The price of gold (XAU/USD) increased by more than 1% on Friday as investors reduced their hawkish bets amid higher inflation after the US jobs report was lower than anticipated. The XAU/USD pair has recovered from daily lows of $4,121 and is currently trading at $4,174.

XAU/USD, GOLD

Nonfarm Payrolls for June came in at 57K instead of 110K on Thursday, falling well short of projections. A reduced participation rate—61.5, the lowest since March 2021—was the primary cause of the unemployment rate's slight decline. The Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate forecasts were immediately modified by the swaps market, and investors now anticipate a narrow 46% likelihood of a rate increase towards the end of the

XAU/USD, GOLD

a result, the US dollar plummeted, as evidenced by the US Dollar Index (DXY), which is expected to close the week down 0.52%. The dollar's performance in relation to six other currencies is measured by the DXY, which is flat at 100.83. The non-yielding metal, which performs better in lower interest rate circumstances, is more appealing because the US 10-year Treasury yield is stable at 4.485 percent. Kevin Warsh, the next Fed chair, reiterated the Fed's commitment to containing inflation but did not offer any future

XAU/USD, GOLD

they await the US inflation report on July 14, traders will be keenly examining the FOMC minutes throughout the course of the coming week. Additional information is anticipated, such as the ISM Services PMI and Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending July 4, which are anticipated to increase from 215K to 219K. According to the most recent figures, official gold reserves rose by a net 41 tons in May, and the World Gold Council stated that central banks were once again in the buying mode.

XAU/USD, GOLD

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