FX.co ★ XAU/USD, GOLD
Trader Journals:::
XAU/USD, GOLD
As of July 7, official-sector purchases and sluggish growth in fresh supply are the long-term drivers of gold and silver prices. Central banks have purchased and hoarded significant amounts of gold and some silver in recent years. purchased and hoarded by central banks in recent years. The longer-term gold market, which is mostly distinct from the speculative investment market, is supported by these purchases, which have occurred in the context of rising public debt levels and changing monetary regimes. On the 4-hour timeframe, Gold Spot is trading at $4,127. After defending a triple bottom support near the $3,959 level, mixed candles of green and red were able to rise and break above the downtrend near the $4,091 level. Buying pressure absorbed at support levels is indicated by the creation of higher lows and bullish rejection wicks on lower price levels. A neutral market sentiment is implied by the RSI level, which is close to 52. The $4,000 to $4,091 price range, which may serve as a crucial accumulation area, is highlighted in the volume profile. Given the wider downside from the $4,597 highs on the 4h chart, the blue 50-period EMA at the $4,110 level has become support, and the price structure above the $4,091 level has now become neutral to bullish. As the price continues to make higher lows in the near future, gold is currently finding support at important Fibonacci zones, which should keep buyers active at current price levels. Due to aging ore resources and growing mine development costs, primary gold mine supply growth has been muted during the past few years. Although a significant amount of silver is produced as a byproduct of the output of other base metals like copper, lead, and zinc, the increase of silver mine production has also been constrained. Gold futures finished at their highest level since June 22 at the beginning of the new trading week. The Middle East's peace initiatives were cited by analysts as a reason why worries about global inflation were lessened and more money was being invested in precious metals. The price of the yellow metal increased to the $4,200 per ounce resistance barrier before settling at the $4,160 per ounce level at the time this report was written, according to data from gold trading platforms. Gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are generally still underperforming, even though US dollar advances have stopped since the publication of lower-than-expected job data. Technically speaking, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still close to the 45 level, indicating ongoing negative momentum, but it is progressively getting closer to the neutral area, which might permit additional recovery if purchasing persists. Additionally, there are early indications of a positive crossover on the MACD indicator. Furthermore, additional purchasing momentum in the upcoming sessions is necessary to confirm this move. A return of gold prices to the $4,100 and $4,050 per ounce support levels would be a direct and serious danger to the current short-term drop, according to the bearish scenario on the daily chart. In general, the US dollar's strength and the market's response to this week's release of the minutes from the most recent Federal Reserve meeting will continue to have an impact on the gold market. This situation is on top of the willingness of investors to purchase safe-haven assets.