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Trader Journals:::2026-08-03T07:19:00

XAU/USD, GOLD

The XAU/USD M30 chart covering the period from July 29 through July 31, 2026, illustrates a highly dynamic multi-session sequence in Gold, with spot prices currently trading near 4060.45 following a latest candle opening at 4063.77, recording a session high of 4065.16, and dipping to a low of 4059.55. The structural breakdown over these three distinct trading days unfolds across three clear technical phases: an initial strong bullish impulse driving price into a major swing high, a sharp corrective selloff, and a subsequent recovery and consolidation phase that is currently testing resistance near key moving averages and the middle Bollinger Band. The indicator setup—featuring green Bollinger Bands and short-to-medium-term red and blue Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)—has consistently defined trend direction, acting as dynamic support during advances and dynamic resistance during downturns. The first phase began in late July 29 and peaked around July 30 at 13:30, characterized by an aggressive bullish rally that propelled Gold from the 4037.94 area up to a peak near 4119.39. Throughout this advance, price traded comfortably above all moving averages, which were neatly stacked in bullish alignment with an upward slope, while the Bollinger Bands expanded significantly to accommodate the surging volatility. Key horizontal levels at 4046.99, 4056.04, and 4065.09 were systematically dismantled and converted into support as buyers dominated price action until momentum stalled just below 4128.44, initiating a distribution pattern below 4119.39. The second phase commenced during the July 30 European session and extended through July 31 at 08:30, delivering a swift and severe downside correction. After failing to hold 4119.39, XAU/USD retreated toward 4083.19 as moving averages flattened and rolled over into bearish alignment. Selling pressure intensified rapidly overnight, producing expansive bearish candles that sliced through 4074.14 and 4065.09 in rapid succession. By early July 31, price was trading firmly below the 20 and 50 EMAs with the lower Bollinger Band widening aggressively. This Asian session selloff culminated in a swing low near 4028.89, completing a clean series of lower highs (4119.39, 4101.29, 4083.19) and lower lows down to 4028.89, confirming a temporary short-term intraday downtrend. The historical support at 4037.94 offered brief friction during the descent before buyers eventually stepped in to defend the multi-day floor at 4028.89. The third phase began at 08:30 on July 31 and continues into the late session, showing a structured corrective recovery and volatility compression. Bouncing off 4028.89, buyers pushed spot Gold back up through 4037.94 and 4046.99 to test 4065.09, reclaiming the moving average cluster which has since flattened and begun curling upward around 4060.45. The Bollinger Bands have contracted significantly around current price action, signalling a classic volatility squeeze after the previous day's extreme expansion. The current stall near 4065.09 coincides with both the middle Bollinger Band and a prior breakdown point from July 30. Looking ahead, key price parameters remain tightly defined: immediate downside support sits at 4059.55 and 4046.99 (EMA confluence), where a loss opens the door toward 4037.94 and the crucial 4028.89 swing low; conversely, upside momentum hinges on a 30-minute close above 4065.09 and 4074.14, which would confirm a recovery extension toward 4083.19, 4101.29, and ultimately the major supply barrier between 4110.34 and 4119.39. Overall, two consecutive 30-minute candle closes above 4060.45 are required for bulls to confirm a sustained breakout from this consolidation corridor, while a breakdown below 4046.99 risks re-engaging intraday sellers.

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