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Trader Journals:::2026-08-13T01:57:31

XAU/USD, GOLD

GOLD Timeframe M30: The price movement of gold (GOLD) on the M30 timeframe chart shows a very interesting trend, as the price is currently in a fairly strong bullish phase. This can be seen from the price movement structure, which continues to form a pattern of higher highs and higher lows from August 6 to August 13, 2026. This condition indicates that buyer dominance is still very strong, although on several occasions there have been short-term corrections. The use of the 100 Moving Average (MA 100), displayed with a blue line, and the 200 Moving Average (MA 200), displayed with a red line, provides a fairly clear picture of the main trend direction. The position of the 100 MA above the 200 MA is a classic signal indicating that the medium-term trend is still moving in a bullish direction. Furthermore, the distance between the two indicators is widening, indicating that upward momentum is still maintained. A closer look reveals that the current price is well above the 100 MA and 200 MA. Such conditions usually indicate a market expansion phase. When the price moves too far from its moving average, two possibilities typically arise. The first possibility is that the price will continue its upward trend if buying momentum remains strong. The second possibility is a correction to retest the support area below the current price. The first support area is around 4417.58. This level is the closest support level and previously served as a consolidation area before the price moved upward again. If a short-term decline occurs, this area has the potential to become a strong rebound point.

XAU/USD, GOLD

The next support level is located at 4315.79. This level plays a very important role because it serves as a psychological barrier that previously stopped selling pressure. Furthermore, this area is also not too far from the 100-day moving average (MA), further strengthening its function as dynamic support. Lower support is located around 4282.35. This level is quite significant because it previously served as the starting point for bullish momentum that pushed the price upward gradually. If the price breaks through the 4315.79 area, the market will likely retest the 4282.35 level. Meanwhile, the strongest support in the current structure is located in the 4246.26 to 4222.41 area. This zone is adjacent to the 200-day moving average (MA), which serves as a long-term trend indicator. As long as the price remains above this area, the overall bullish trend is considered safe. In terms of resistance, the 4430.60 area is the first barrier currently being tested by the price. The price has experienced rejection around this area several times, indicating profit-taking by market participants. However, the continued increase in buying pressure makes the possibility of a breakout still quite high. The next resistance level is at 4441.41. This area is the highest level on the chart and a primary target for buyers. If the price manages to break through this resistance with strong volume, the opportunity for further upside to higher levels will be greater. From a price action perspective, the price movement pattern indicates an accumulation phase followed by a breakout. After consolidating on August 6, the price began to gradually rise. This momentum strengthened on August 10 when the price broke through several key resistance levels. The rise on August 11 was followed by a sharp correction. However, this correction failed to alter the established bullish structure. Instead, the price formed a new higher low and resumed its upward movement on August 12. It is important to note that the price is currently near a key resistance area. This situation typically results in two scenarios. The first is a breakout followed by accelerated upward movement. The second is the emergence of selling pressure that drives the price to retrace before resuming its main trend. The continued upward movement of the 100-day moving average (MA100) is one factor that strengthens the bullish potential. The 100-day moving average (MA100) not only serves as a trend direction indicator but also acts as dynamic support capable of withstanding selling pressure. As long as the price remains above the 100-day moving average (MA100), market sentiment tends to remain positive. On the other hand, the 200-day moving average (MA200), which is also beginning to slope upward, indicates a significant change in the long-term trend. At the beginning of the observation period, the 200-day moving average (MA200) remained relatively flat. However, as the price continues to rise, the 200-day moving average (MA200) begins to follow the market direction. Another factor to consider is the characteristics of gold's movement, which is heavily influenced by global market sentiment. When the price is near its highest level, volatility typically increases. Therefore, traders need to be wary of the potential for a false breakout, especially if the price is unable to hold above key resistance. Overall, the current market structure still supports the continuation of the bullish trend. There are no technical signals indicating a significant trend change. Nevertheless, traders should still pay attention to price reactions around resistance areas, as the testing phase of the highest level often determines the direction of the next movement.
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