FX.co ★ XAU/USD, GOLD
Trader Journals:::
XAU/USD, GOLD
Gold 1-Hour Analysis: The examination of gold price behavior is a subject for debate. We recently got close to the horizontal support zone at 4292.50, but we didn't test it thoroughly. Considering the wider support range is preferable to concentrating on a rigid support level. Following the drop that followed the peak of 4357.13, the market is currently trying a correction. Although I expect the price to continue declining, this is just one possible scenario for the movement of gold. Significant bearish momentum appears unlikely in the current geopolitical environment. However, a recovery from 4305.87 might lead to gold rising to the closest resistance level at 4325.40. For now, it's a waiting game, but there is clear potential for substantial growth. The XAU/USD hourly chart's crucial support level of 4305.87 (4/8), where the 100-day moving average (MA200) closely aligns, is the focal point of today's trading. The market will probably consolidate below this level if the gold bulls are unable to hold it, opening the door for bears to advance toward the 4266.80 support. A new, bullish surge with renewed vigor has been made possible by the recent steep correction, which has neutralized tensions. Margin research indicates that gold is still on the rise today. The market's "batteries" are, in my opinion, fully charged and prepared for a buy signal. In order to prevent rash actions, I refrain from making purchases at these alluring prices without a clear signal. According to my intuition, gold may soon try to surpass $4,571 per ounce—a possible $300 recoilless surge. I intend to move buy positions to break-even and keep them if conditions are favorable. The expense of changing jobs is still substantial, though, so it needs to be taken into account.