1 -NZD/USD Weekly Bearish OB 0.60625-0.61225 + Bearish FVG 0.60400-0.60625 Premium / Bullish OB+FVG 0.55285-0.56162 Discount Price 0.56162 Mitigated Weekly: Watching Weekly Bearish OB 0.60625-0.61225 Mar-May high last blue bullish before red drop to 0.59840, I combine it with Bearish FVG 0.60400-0.60625 high 0.60625 not overlapping low 0.60400 inside OB premium 0.61225 high 0.61225 BSL above. I see Bullish OB 0.55285-0.56162 Sep low last red bearish before blue bullish to 0.56470 demand SSL 0.55285 below Weekly low 0.55399, combined with Bullish FVG 0.55285-0.56162 low 0.55285 not overlapping high 0.56162 inside OB discount. With price 0.56162 inside Bullish OB+FVG mitigated Weekly close 0.56162 open 0.56020 high 0.56291 low 0.55399, I read OsMA -0.0039577 negative Mom 97.6407 below 100 bearish divergence but, I notice bullish CHoCH 0.60400 to 0.59840 sweeping BSL 0.61225 breaking below 0.60400 bearish shift. After long lower wick rejection at 0.55285 SSL, I am tracking bullish divergence, waiting for acceptance above 0.56162, targeting 0.56470 and 0.56835 BSL and 0.61225 Weekly high, invalidation below 0.55285 SSL sweep low. I will manage risk with stop below SSL and, after confirmation above pivot, I target premium liquidity with partials at R1 and BSL, maintaining discipline. 2 - H4 BOS 0.55570-0.56835 BSL 0.56835/0.56720 SSL 0.55570/0.55685 Price 0.56162 OsMA 0.0002698 Mom 100.1694 Volume: On H4, range 0.55570-0.56835 bearish BOS 0.56835 high Sep 28 to 0.55570 low Oct 14, I observe high 0.56835 BSL double-top 0.56720 buy stops above 0.56835. Tracking low 0.55570 SSL sweep Oct 14 long wick below 0.55685 bearish BOS 0.55915 to 0.55570 breaking below 0.55800 red body, I note displacement. While price 0.56162 sits at 0.56147 pivot resistance green consolidation above 0.56030 support, I read OsMA 0.0002698 positive bullish histogram increasing at discount. With Mom 100.1694 above 100 bullish momentum bounce at 0.55800, I see H4 close 0.56162 open 0.56127 high 0.56188 low 0.56093 bullish divergence at SSL 0.55570 long wick rejection. After mitigation of Bullish OB 0.55570-0.55800, I will watch toward 0.56260 resistance, then 0.56470, then 0.56835 BSL, invalidation below 0.55570 SSL sweep, confirming bullish shift with teal displacement above 0.56147. I will manage risk with stop below SSL and, after confirmation above pivot, I target premium liquidity with partials at R1 and BSL, maintaining discipline. I will manage risk with stop below SSL and, after confirmation above pivot, I target premium liquidity with partials at R1 and BSL, maintaining discipline.
3 - H1 BOS 0.55585-0.56315 BSL 0.56315/0.56245 SSL 0.55585/0.55650 Price 0.56164 OsMA 0.0001384 Mom 100.1909: H1 range 0.55585-0.56315 bullish BOS 0.55585 low Oct 12 to 0.56315 high Oct 14 teal, I spot high 0.56315 BSL double-top 0.56245 long upper wick premium buy stops above 0.56315. Following drop to 0.55585 SSL sweep Oct 14 15:00 long red candle 0.56245 to 0.55650 breaking below 0.55780, I notice bearish BOS 0.55915 to 0.55650. As price 0.56164 holds at 0.56162 pivot support green above 0.56115, I interpret OsMA 0.0001384 positive bullish histogram increasing at discount. I interpret Mom 100.1909 above 100 bullish momentum bounce at 0.55800, and, after long wick rejection at 0.55585 SSL, I record H1 close 0.56164 open 0.56142 high 0.56183 low 0.56140 bullish divergence. With acceptance above 0.56162 H1 Pivot, I am long biased toward 0.56260 H4 resistance, then 0.56470, targeting 0.56835 BSL, invalidation below 0.55585 SSL sweep low. I will manage risk with stop below SSL and, after confirmation above pivot, I target premium liquidity with partials at R1 and BSL, maintaining discipline. I will manage risk with stop below SSL and, after confirmation above pivot, I target premium liquidity with partials at R1 and BSL, maintaining discipline. 4 - Liquidity BSL 0.61225 Weekly High 0.56835 H4 High 0.56315 H1 High SSL 0.55285 Weekly Low 0.55570 H4 Low 0.55585 H1 Low Sweeps 0.55399 0.56093 0.56140: Mapping external BSL above 0.61225 Weekly high Mar and 0.56835 H4 high Sep 28 and 0.56315 H1 high Oct 14, I see buy stops above 0.56162 equal highs double-top inducement. I map internal BSL at 0.60625 Weekly and 0.60400 Weekly and 0.56260 H4 buy stops above 0.56260. Mapping external SSL below 0.55285 Weekly low Sep 20 and 0.55570 H4 low Oct 14 and 0.55585 H1 low Oct 14, I locate sell stops below equal lows inducement. Mapping internal SSL at 0.55399 Weekly low and 0.56093 H4 low and 0.56140 H1 low, I track sell stops below 0.56140. Recalling BSL sweep Mar 0.61225 long upper wick distribution premium before pullback to 0.55285, I understand distribution. Recalling SSL sweep Sep 20 0.55285 long lower wick accumulation discount before bullish BOS toward 0.56162-0.56470, I am positioned at discount, waiting for liquidity grab above 0.56315 then reversal, targeting premium 0.61225. I will manage risk with stop below SSL and, after confirmation above pivot, I target premium liquidity with partials at R1 and BSL, maintaining discipline. 5 - Inducement Equal Highs 0.60625-0.61225 BSL 0.61225 Double-Top 0.56720-0.56835 BSL 0.56835 0.56245-0.56315 BSL 0.56315 Equal Lows 0.55285-0.55399 SSL 0.55285 0.55570-0.55685 SSL 0.55570: Understanding equal highs equal lows trap retail buy stops above equal highs sell stops below equal lows, I detail Weekly equal highs 0.60625-0.61225 Mar-May double-top BSL 0.61225 long upper wick premium volume red OsMA -0.0039577 bearish, equal lows 0.55285-0.55399 Sep SSL 0.55285 long lower wick discount volume green Mom 97.6407. I detail H4 equal highs 0.56720-0.56835 Sep 28 double-top BSL 0.56835 long upper wick premium OsMA 0.0002698 bullish, equal lows 0.55570-0.55685 Oct 14 SSL 0.55570 long lower wick discount bullish divergence. Detailing H1 equal highs 0.56245-0.56315 Oct 14 BSL 0.56315 long upper wick premium double-top OsMA 0.0001384 bullish, equal lows 0.55585-0.55650 SSL 0.55585 long lower wick discount, I am fading premium while buying discount, watching for stop hunt above 0.56315 then bearish reversal toward 0.56107 S1 and 0.55570 SSL. I will manage risk with stop below SSL and, after confirmation above pivot, I target premium liquidity with partials at R1 and BSL, maintaining discipline. I will manage risk with stop below SSL and, after confirmation above pivot, I target premium liquidity with partials at R1 and BSL, maintaining discipline. 6 - Bearish OB Supply 0.60625-0.61225 BSL 0.61225 Weekly 0.56720-0.56835 H4 BSL 0.56835 0.56245-0.56315 H1 BSL 0.56315 Breaker 0.60400-0.60625 0.56260-0.56470: Labeling Weekly Bearish OB 0.60625-0.61225 top last blue bullish before red drop to 0.59840 major supply BSL 0.61225 above Weekly high, I note breaker 0.60400-0.60625 previous bullish OB broken Aug 24 retested Sep 20 red wicks price below breaker bearish displacement OsMA bearish. I label second Bearish OB 0.56720-0.56835 H4 top Sep 28 last blue before red drop to 0.56093 immediate supply premium 0.56835 high. Labeling third Bearish OB 0.56245-0.56315 H1 top Oct 14 last blue before red drop to 0.56140 immediate supply premium 0.56315 high OsMA 0.0001384, I track confluence. I label H4 Bearish OB 0.56260-0.56470 last blue before red to 0.56030 immediate supply premium BSL 0.56470 above, and, after rejection wicks at 0.56315 BSL, I am shorting premium while waiting for mitigation, targeting discount 0.55285-0.56162 Bullish OB, invalidation above 0.61225 BSL. I will manage risk with stop below SSL and, after confirmation above pivot, I target premium liquidity with partials at R1 and BSL, maintaining discipline. I will manage risk with stop below SSL and, after confirmation above pivot, I target premium liquidity with partials at R1 and BSL, maintaining discipline. 7 - Bullish OB Demand 0.55285-0.56162 SSL 0.55285 Weekly 0.55570-0.55800 SSL 0.55570 H4 0.55585-0.55780 SSL 0.55585 H1 0.56093-0.56162 Support 0.55800-0.55915: Finding Weekly Bullish OB 0.55285-0.56162 low last red bearish before blue bullish to 0.56470 demand SSL 0.55285 below long wick discount bullish displacement green OsMA -0.0039577 negative but rising bullish divergence Mom 97.6407, I locate demand. I find second Bullish OB 0.55570-0.55800 H4 low Oct 14 last red before blue to 0.56260 demand SSL 0.55570 below long wick bullish displacement OsMA 0.0002698 positive. Finding third Bullish OB 0.55585-0.55780 H1 low Oct 14 last red before blue to 0.56164 demand SSL 0.55585 below long wick OsMA 0.0001384 positive, I confirm confluence. I find H4 Bullish OB 0.56093-0.56162 low last red before green to 0.56260 demand SSL 0.56093 below Mom 100.1694 above 100 bullish, and, after bullish displacement above 0.56147 pivot, I am buying discount with stop below 0.55285 SSL, targeting premium 0.60625-0.61225 Bearish OB and 0.61225 BSL. I will manage risk with stop below SSL and, after confirmation above pivot, I target premium liquidity with partials at R1 and BSL, maintaining discipline. 8 - FVG Imbalance Bullish 0.55285-0.56162 Mitigated 0.56162 Bearish 0.60400-0.60625 0.60625-0.61225 Premium H4 0.55570-0.56835 Support H1 0.55585-0.56315 Resistance: Assessing Weekly Bullish FVG 0.55285-0.56162 low imbalance low 0.55285 not overlapping high 0.56162 currently mitigated at 0.56162 blue body inside bullish displacement green OsMA negative but rising, I respect it as demand. I assess second Weekly Bullish FVG 0.55570-0.55800 H4 low not overlapping high 0.55800 mitigated blue bodies above 0.55570. Assessing Weekly Bearish FVG 0.60400-0.60625 top high 0.60625 not overlapping low 0.60400 inefficient premium may rebalance later bearish volume red OsMA negative bearish, I anticipate rebalance. I assess second Weekly Bearish FVG 0.60625-0.61225 top high 0.61225 not overlapping low 0.60625 inefficient premium long upper wick BSL premium 0.61225. Assessing H4 Bullish FVG 0.55570-0.56835 low not overlapping high 0.56835 support long lower wick, I trade it while, I note, Bearish FVG H1 0.56245-0.56315 resistance I fade at premium, targeting discount FVG refill. I will manage risk with stop below SSL and, after confirmation above pivot, I target premium liquidity with partials at R1 and BSL, maintaining discipline. I will manage risk with stop below SSL and, after confirmation above pivot, I target premium liquidity with partials at R1 and BSL, maintaining discipline. 9 - SMA Dynamic Weekly SMA-200 0.6149 SMA-50 0.6185 SMA-100 0.623 SMA-20 0.6119 Price 0.56162 Below All Death Cross H4 SMA-50 0.6185 H1 SMA-200 0.5848 SMA-50 0.5886: Examining Weekly SMA-200 0.6149 above SMA-50 0.6185 above SMA-20 0.6119 and SMA-100 0.623 price 0.56162 below all bearish alignment death cross, I see bearish filter. I note SMA-50 and SMA-100 were resistance May-Sep price below both then support test distribution mitigation bullish OB 0.55285-0.56162 failed turned into breaker block bearish rejection wicks OsMA below signal bearish. I note SMA-50 slope declining slightly bearish momentum long-term resistance when price retests long upper wick rejection at SMA-50 0.6185. I note H4 SMA-200 0.6149 and SMA-50 0.6185 death cross bearish alignment price 0.56162 below both bearish filter. I note H1 SMA-200 0.5848 and SMA-50 0.5886 death cross bearish alignment price 0.56164 below both bearish filter. Noting SMA-200 slope declining bearish momentum intraday resistance, I wait acceptance above SMA-200 0.5848 and SMA-50 0.5886 teal displacement bullish CHoCH mitigation complete bullish BOS toward 0.56260 and 0.56470 and 0.56835. I will manage risk with stop below SSL and, after confirmation above pivot, I target premium liquidity with partials at R1 and BSL, maintaining discipline. 10 - Momentum OsMA Weekly -0.0039577 Bearish H4 0.0002698 Bullish H1 0.0001384 Bullish Mom Weekly 97.6407 Bearish H4 100.1694 Bullish H1 100.1909 Bullish Divergence SSL 0.55285: Evaluating Weekly OsMA -0.0039577 negative below zero bearish momentum OsMA below signal bearish histogram decreasing exhaustion discount bullish divergence, I see potential reversal. I evaluate Mom Weekly 97.6407 below 100 bearish momentum bearish crossover exhaustion discount bullish divergence at SSL 0.55285. Evaluating H4 OsMA 0.0002698 positive above zero bullish histogram increasing bullish shift at discount bullish divergence, I confirm shift. I evaluate Mom H4 100.1694 above 100 bullish momentum bounce at support 0.55570 SSL long lower wick rejection. Evaluating H1 OsMA 0.0001384 positive above zero bullish histogram increasing bullish shift at discount bullish divergence, I see bounce. I evaluate Mom H1 100.1909 above 100 bullish momentum bounce at SSL 0.55585, and, after OsMA crossing above zero bullish crossover bounce at support 0.55570 SSL long lower wick rejection, I confirm bullish BOS toward 0.56260 resistance, targeting 0.56835 BSL. I will manage risk with stop below SSL and, after confirmation above pivot, I target premium liquidity with partials at R1 and BSL, maintaining discipline. 11 - Premium Discount Weekly 0.55285-0.61225 50% 0.58255 Current 0.56162 Discount Below 0.58255 OTE Long 0.55285-0.56162 0.62-0.79 Fib OTE Short 0.60625-0.61225 0.60-0.79 Fib: Measuring Weekly range 0.55285-0.61225 50% at 0.58255 premium above 0.58255 discount below 0.58255 current 0.56162 discount below 0.58255 bullish longs discount high probability OTE long opportunity bullish divergence OsMA negative but rising oversold, I measure. I plan OTE long 0.55285-0.56162 Bullish OB 0.62-0.79 Fib Mar high 0.61225 to Sep low 0.55285 swing discount zone 0.55285-0.56162 discount confluence Bullish OB external SSL 0.55285 below. Planning OTE short 0.60625-0.61225 Bearish OB 0.62-0.79 Fib Jan low 0.55285 to Mar high 0.61225 swing premium zone 0.60625-0.61225 premium confluence Bearish OB external BSL 0.61225 above, I plan fade. Noting Weekly current 0.56162 discount below 0.58255 bullish longs discount but at discount support 0.55285-0.56162 immediate demand SSL sweep, I enter discount while, I note, H4 range 0.55570-0.56835 50% at 0.56202 premium above discount below current 0.56162 discount below 0.56202 bullish longs discount. I will manage risk with stop below SSL and, after confirmation above pivot, I target premium liquidity with partials at R1 and BSL, maintaining discipline. 12 - Pivot Weekly P 0.55950 R1 0.56502 S1 0.55610 R2 0.56893 S2 0.55218 H4 P 0.56147 R1 0.56202 S1 0.56107 R2 0.56257 S2 0.56052 H1 P 0.56162 R1 0.56184 S1 0.56141 Current Above Pivot Bullish: Calculating Weekly Pivot high 0.56291 low 0.55399 close 0.56162: P 0.55950 R1 0.56502 S1 0.55610 R2 0.56893 S2 0.55218, I find current 0.56162 above Weekly Pivot 0.55950 bullish above Pivot bullish BOS displacement SMA-200 0.6149 SMA-50 0.6185 resistance. I calculate H4 Pivot high 0.56188 low 0.56093 close 0.56162: P 0.56147 R1 0.56202 S1 0.56107 R2 0.56257 S2 0.56052, finding current 0.56162 above H4 Pivot 0.56147 bullish above Pivot targeting R1 0.56202 bullish BOS displacement OsMA above signal. Calculating H1 Pivot high 0.56183 low 0.56140 close 0.56164: P 0.56162 R1 0.56184 S1 0.56141 R2 0.56205 S2 0.56120, I find current 0.56164 above H1 Pivot 0.56162 bullish above Pivot targeting R1 0.56184 bullish BOS SMA-200 0.5848 SMA-50 0.5886 resistance. Using pivot confluence with Order Blocks 0.55285-0.56162 and SMA-200 and SMA-50 and Fibonacci, I trade pivots with confluence, targeting R1 then R2. I will manage risk with stop below SSL and, after confirmation above pivot, I target premium liquidity with partials at R1 and BSL, maintaining discipline. 13 - US Dollar DXY 104.00 Resistance NZD Weakness RBNZ Dovish 5.50% Bearish NZD/USD Below 0.56147 Toward 0.55570 SSL 0.55285 Weekly Low 0.5848 SMA-200 0.5886 SMA-50: Considering USD Fed funds 5.25% DXY 104.00 resistance USD strength above 104.00 bearish NZD/USD below 0.56147 toward 0.55570 SSL and 0.55285 Weekly low bearish BOS displacement SMA-200 0.6149 SMA-50 0.6185 resistance, I weigh USD strength. I consider NZD weakness RBNZ dovish 5.50% OCR bearish NZD bearish NZD/USD below 0.56147 toward 0.55285 SSL. Considering US CPI expected 3.2% vs 3.1% prior sticky above 3.2% USD bullish bearish NZD/USD below 0.56147 toward 0.55285 SSL, soft below 3.0% USD bearish bullish NZD/USD above 0.56147 toward 0.5848 SMA-200 and 0.5886 SMA-50 bullish BOS displacement, I plan CPI reaction. I consider NZ Dairy prices down -2% bearish NZD bearish NZD/USD below 0.56147 toward 0.55285 SSL. Considering risk-on bullish NZD/USD above 0.56147 toward 0.5848 and 0.5886 and 0.5947 bullish BOS continuation, I note OsMA -0.0039577 negative shows bearish exhaustion, staying cautious on USD strength. I will manage risk with stop below SSL and, after confirmation above pivot, I target premium liquidity with partials at R1 and BSL, maintaining discipline. 14 - Geopolitical Risk Middle East Safe Haven USD Bullish Bearish NZD/USD Below 0.56107 Toward 0.55570 SSL Risk On Bullish Above 0.56147 Toward 0.5848 0.5886 0.5947 0.61225 BSL 0.56502 R1: Evaluating Middle East escalation Israel-Hamas and Houthi attacks and Red Sea shipping risk bullish USD safe haven bearish NZD/USD below 0.56107 toward 0.55570 SSL and 0.55285 Weekly low bearish MSS volume red distribution, I assess risk. I evaluate de-escalation or risk-on bullish NZD/USD above 0.56147 toward 0.5848 SMA-200 and 0.5886 SMA-50 and 0.5947 100-day SMA and 0.61225 BSL bullish BOS continuation volume green spike risk premium. Evaluating Russia-Ukraine escalation bullish USD bearish NZD/USD below 0.56107, I track war premium. I evaluate US-China tension over Taiwan bullish USD bearish NZD/USD below 0.56107, watching Asia risk. I evaluate central bank demand RBNZ dovish vs Fed hawkish bearish NZD/USD above 0.5886 toward 0.61225 BSL intervention risk, comparing policy divergence. Evaluating NZ China trade dairy demand bullish NZD/USD above 0.56147 toward 0.5848 and 0.5886, I factor China. Evaluating Gold ETF flows outflows bearish NZD/USD below 0.56107, I note correlation while Mom 97.6407 below 100 shows bearish exhaustion. 15 - Liquidity Hunt BSL 0.61225 Weekly High 0.56835 H4 High 0.56315 H1 High Buy Stops Above Equal Highs SSL 0.55285 Weekly Low 0.55570 H4 Low 0.55585 H1 Low Sell Stops Below Equal Lows Premium 0.60625-0.61225 Discount 0.55285-0.56162: Hunting BSL above equal highs and SSL below equal lows where retail stops cluster buy stops above equal highs sell stops below equal lows, I detail external BSL above 0.61225 Weekly high Mar and 0.56835 H4 high Sep 28 and 0.56315 H1 high Oct 14 buy stops above 0.56162 equal highs double-top. I detail internal BSL at 0.60625 Weekly and 0.60400 Weekly and 0.56260 H4 buy stops above 0.56260. Detailing external SSL below 0.55285 Weekly low Sep 20 and 0.55570 H4 low Oct 14 and 0.55585 H1 low Oct 14 sell stops below equal lows, I see sell stops. I detail internal SSL at 0.55399 Weekly low and 0.56093 H4 low and 0.56140 H1 low sell stops below 0.56140. Recalling BSL sweep Mar 0.61225 long upper wick distribution premium before pullback to 0.55285, I understand distribution. Recalling SSL sweep Sep 20 0.55285 long lower wick accumulation discount before bullish BOS toward 0.56162-0.56470, I am hunting liquidity at discount, waiting for grab above 0.56315 then reversal. 16 - Order Flow Bullish OB 0.55285-0.56162 Buy Limits SSL 0.55285 Stop Below Target Premium 0.60625-0.61225 BSL 0.61225 Bearish OB 0.60625-0.61225 Sell Limits BSL 0.61225 Stop Above Target Discount 0.55285-0.56162 0.55399 0.56093 0.56140: Placing Bullish OB at 0.55285-0.56162 Weekly low last red bearish before blue bullish to 0.56470 demand SSL 0.55285 below long wick discount bullish displacement green spike OsMA -0.0039577 negative but rising bullish divergence Mom 97.6407, I place buy limits at 0.55285-0.56162 discount zone stop below 0.55285 SSL target premium 0.60625-0.61225 Bearish OB buy stops above. I place second Bullish OB 0.55570-0.55800 H4 low Oct 14 last red before blue to 0.56260 demand SSL 0.55570 below long wick bullish displacement OsMA 0.0002698 positive. Placing third Bullish OB 0.55585-0.55780 H1 low Oct 14 last red before blue to 0.56164 demand SSL 0.55585 below long wick OsMA 0.0001384 positive, I layer orders. I place Bearish OB at 0.60625-0.61225 premium last blue bullish before red bearish displacement equal highs BSL, placing sell limits at 0.60625-0.61225 premium zone stop above 0.61225 BSL target discount 0.55285-0.56162, following flow with institutional logic, mitigating unfilled OBs. 17 - Short Term Pulse H1 H4 Bullish Above 0.55570 SMA-200 0.6149 SMA-50 0.6185 Bearish Below Both BOS 0.55570-0.56835 BSL 0.56835/0.56720 Drop 0.55570 BOS 0.55915-0.55570 Price 0.56162 OsMA 0.0002698 Mom 100.1694: Sensing H1 and H4 bullish momentum above 0.55570 support but below SMA-200 0.6149 and SMA-50 0.6185 bearish alignment price below both bearish filter MACD below signal bearish OsMA crossing above zero bullish bounce attempt Mom above 100 bullish divergence consolidation at 0.56162 pivot 0.55285-0.56162 discount support, I sense short-term bullish potential. I describe H4 chart Sep 28-Oct 14 bearish BOS 0.56835 high Sep 28 to 0.55570 low Oct 14 lower highs lower lows red displacement below 0.56030 bearish alignment. I highlight high 0.56835 H4 BSL double-top 0.56835/0.56720 equal highs long upper wick BSL premium, drop to 0.55570 low Oct 14 red displacement breaking below SMA-200 0.6149 and below SMA-50 0.6185 bearish BOS 0.55915 to 0.55570 breaking below both confirming bearish shift intraday volume MACD below signal bearish but OsMA 0.0002698 positive bullish crossover bullish bounce potential at 0.56162, scalping short-term bounce long toward 0.56260 and 0.56470. I will manage risk with stop below SSL and, after confirmation above pivot, I target premium liquidity with partials at R1 and BSL, maintaining discipline. 18 - Long Term Pulse Weekly Bearish Below SMA-200 0.6149 SMA-50 0.6185 SMA-100 0.623 BOS 0.55285-0.61225 High 0.61225 CHoCH 0.60625-0.59840 Sweep BSL 0.61225 Lower Highs 0.61225 0.60625 0.60400 0.56835 Lower Lows 0.59840 0.58255 0.56470 0.55285 Mom 97.6407: Judging Weekly bearish momentum below SMA-200 0.6149 and SMA-50 0.6185 and SMA-100 0.623 death cross price below all bearish filter bearish trend OsMA -0.0039577 below zero bearish Mom 97.6407 below 100 bearish bearish divergence at discount bullish shift potential, I judge long-term bearish but nearing exhaustion. I outline Weekly chart Jan-Sep 2025 bullish BOS 0.55285 low Jan to 0.61225 high Mar higher highs higher lows blue displacement above SMA-200 0.6149 bullish alignment. I note Bearish CHoCH large red candle 0.60625 down to 0.59840 sweeping BSL 0.61225 high Mar breaking below higher low 0.60400 confirming bearish shift displacement volume long upper wick BSL premium bearish MSS OsMA overbought. I note since then lower highs 0.61225 0.60625 0.60400 0.56835 lower lows 0.59840 0.58255 0.56470 0.55285 SSL sweep low 0.55285 long lower wick SSL discount volume spike accumulation. Noting Mom 97.6407 below 100 shows bearish exhaustion, I am holding long-term discount long, targeting 0.5848 SMA-200. 19 - Scenario Bullish BOS Above 0.56147 H4 Pivot 0.56162 H1 Pivot 0.56260 Resistance 0.56470 0.56835 BSL 0.61225 Targets 0.56202 R1 0.56260 0.56470 0.56835 0.61225 60 pips 148 pips 395 pips Invalidation Below 0.56107 0.55570 0.55285 Bearish Below 0.56147: Projecting Bullish BOS above 0.56147 support 0.56162 H1 Pivot 0.56260 resistance 0.56470 0.56835 BSL 0.61225 teal large body above 0.56202 R1 0.56260 0.56470 0.56835 0.61225 SMA-200 0.6149 SMA-50 0.6185 R1 0.56202 bullish crossover OsMA -0.0039577 to 0.0002698 bullish crossover histogram increasing bullish shift discount H1 OsMA 0.0001384 bullish crossover Mom 100.1694 above 100 bullish RSI oversold divergence volume green teal bodies near highs mitigation bullish OB 0.55285-0.56162 complete acceptance above 0.56147 0.56260 SMA-200, I project bullish. I set invalidation below 0.56107 H4 S1 and 0.55570 H4 low and 0.55285 Weekly low bearish displacement below 0.55285, defining risk. I set targets 0.56202 R1 60 pips 0.56260 0.56470 0.56835 148 pips 0.61225 BSL 395 pips bullish BOS continuation. I set bearish rejection at premium 0.60625-0.61225 Bearish OB SMA-200 0.6149 SMA-50 0.6185 equal highs 0.60625-0.61225 R1 0.56502 horizontal 0.56470 bearish MSS below 0.56147 0.56107 S1 0.55285 low invalidation above 0.56315 0.56835 0.61225 BSL targets 0.56107 S1 0.55570 low 0.55285 SSL, ready to execute either side.
