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The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has changed. There is still no talk of canceling the upward trend segment (lower chart), which began in January of last...

The ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict continues to drive energy scarcity in Europe, pushing odds for a 50+ bps ECB rate cut by April 30 into bearish territory as inflation risks mount...

China’s DeepSeek released a new flagship AI model, intensifying competition with US firms. Anthropic’s odds of having the third-best AI model by April 30 dropped to ? YES. Market reaction...

Delaware’s Senate passed the Delaware Payment Stablecoins Act 20-1, sending the bill to the House. The legislation mirrors the federal GENIUS Act framework. On Polymarket, stablecoins depegging before December...

Bitcoin exchange reserves hit 2.3 million BTC, the lowest level since 2018, while BlackRock’s IBIT absorbs roughly 2,100 BTC per day against daily mining output of just...

USDT has been delisted from major European exchanges following the full implementation of MiCA, Europe’s stablecoin regulation. The market for USDC depeg by December 31 sits at 2.9% YES. With...

$344 million worth of USDT on the Tron network, allegedly tied to the Iranian regime, has been frozen. Odds for Iran surrendering its uranium stockpile by April 30 have dipped...

Ukrainian logistical setbacks in the Kupiansk sector have raised the likelihood of Russian forces entering Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi. The odds for Russian entry by April 30 are now at 92.5%...

Tether, working with OFAC, froze $344 million in USDT tied to Iran on April 23. The odds of Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction relief in April sit at 14%...

The US has stationed three aircraft carriers in the Middle East, the first such deployment since 2003. The market on whether the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz will...