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FX.co ★ XAG/USD, SILVER

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Trader Journals:::2025-08-23T01:13:04

XAG/USD, SILVER

Silver Technical Analysis – H4 Outlook Recent Price Action Silver prices saw a steep rally on the 4-hour timeframe, jumping to test the $39.00 resistance level following a prolonged consolidation period. The metal had been trending in a fairly tight $87.00 to $88.50 range prior to the unexpected breakout. This intense bullish move is a reflection of renewed demand, which should be driven by sentiment in the wider market and demand for safe-haven assets. The newest candlestick is a strong bullish impulse, driving prices to intraday highs of $39.015 before they meet selling pressure. The closing price is muted at $38.835, indicating profit-taking at the psychological $39.00 level. Key Technical Levels Resistance: Immediate resistance lies at $39.00–$39.20. A confirmed break above this region could pave the way for a further drive to $39.50 and possibly $40.00 in the near term. Support: On the negative side, a first support comes in at $38.60, with further support at $38.15. A more significant retracement will test $37.95 before any fresh bullish bids. Moving Average Outlook The price is above the short-term moving average, indicating persistent bullish dominance. The latest upward tilt of the moving average line is a sure confirmation of the robust buying pressure, meaning dips are most likely to be cushioned by buyers. RSI Indicator The RSI (14) is currently at 68.14, edging towards the overbought level of 70. This is a sign of heavy bullish force but also cautions against potential exhaustion if purchasers are unable to maintain pressure upwards. A breakout above 70 can lead to short-term corrections or consolidation before the next phase up. Market Outlook Silvers robust breakout over consolidation levels is indicative of bullish control, and momentum would be in favor of additional upside if resistance points are overcome convincingly. Yet, caution should be exercised at the $39.00 psychological level, since rejection here might prompt a corrective pullback. Conclusion Overall, the trend in Silver on the H4 chart is still bullish, with the buyers in control. Sustained trading above $39.00 would increase the probability of testing higher resistance levels, while a breakdown could lead to price returns towards surrounding supports. Position traders need to monitor RSI levels for signs of overbought and adjust positions accordingly.
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