In April, the Brazilian real experienced a decline, nearing 6 per USD, marking a one-month low. This drop was primarily driven by heightened global trade tensions, notably the U.S. imposing a 10% tariff on Brazilian exports. While Brazil avoided harsher tariffs that impacted other countries, these trade policies have nonetheless prompted a reassessment of Brazil's export capabilities, particularly affecting vital sectors such as agriculture and manufacturing. Furthermore, China's retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods have caused disturbances in global commodity markets, leading to price fluctuations that negatively impact Brazil's export revenues, largely dependent on commodities.
Domestically, inflationary pressures continue to pose challenges, with inflation expected to reach 5.65% by 2025. Additionally, Brazil's gross public debt has climbed to 76.2% of GDP as of February, highlighting fiscal difficulties that erode investor confidence.
