FX.co ★ Italy’s 10-Year BTPs Climb Amid Global Bond Selloff

Italy's 10-year BTP yield approached 3.6%, marking its highest point since late September, as a wave of global bond selling intensified. Investors are cutting back on their 2026 rate-cut forecasts and even speculating on a potential European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate hike next year. ECB Governing Council member Gediminas Simkus spoke to Bloomberg, indicating that further policy easing is unnecessary as inflation comes "more or less" in line with targets, echoing sentiments previously expressed by Isabel Schnabel. In the United States, the Federal Reserve is expected to reduce rates today, although concerns about inflation, fiscal policy, and the overall monetary direction have made markets more cautious. European fiscal challenges added to the tension: Germany’s draft budget for 2026 depends on nearly €180 billion in borrowing, and France narrowly approved next year's social-security budget, faced with uncertainty over the broader state finances. Despite these disruptions, Italian bonds are considered a "standout opportunity" in the short term by asset manager Amundi, given the country's political stability and improving debt outlook.