On January 9, 2026, new data released reflected a positive upturn in the U.S. economy as the average hourly earnings increased to 3.8% in December. This marks a slight rise from the previous month of October, when the year-over-year growth was calculated at 3.7%.
The upward movement in average hourly earnings highlights a steady trajectory in wage growth, which is a welcome sign for economists and policymakers who have been monitoring inflation dynamics and consumer spending. These numbers are compared on a year-over-year basis, indicating the change from December 2024 to December 2025 and previously from October 2024 to October 2025.
This bump in earnings growth could suggest stronger consumer purchasing power, potentially fueling further economic expansion as we move deeper into 2026. It remains an essential variable for the Federal Reserve as they consider future interest rate adjustments, aiming to balance between fostering growth and curbing inflation.