The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model estimate for U.S. real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2026 remains unchanged at 2.7%, according to the latest update on 13 March 2026. The current reading is identical to the previous estimate for the same period, indicating a stable near-term growth outlook.
With the projection holding at 2.7%, the model suggests that incoming economic data have neither significantly strengthened nor weakened the growth picture for the start of 2026. While GDPNow is not an official forecast, markets and analysts often track its movements closely as a high-frequency gauge of how real-time data may shape the Bureau of Economic Analysis’ eventual GDP release. For now, the flat reading points to a steady, moderate expansion in the U.S. economy in the first quarter.
