FX.co ★ European Gas Prices Drop

European natural gas futures declined to €48.6 per megawatt hour, retracing part of the previous session’s gains after Israel and Lebanon agreed to implement a ceasefire. The deal, however, depends on a full halt to Hezbollah attacks and the withdrawal of its fighters south of the Litani River. Market tensions were further tempered after President Donald Trump said talks with Iran could yield results as early as this weekend and described the discussions as going “very well,” despite Tehran’s denials. Nevertheless, uncertainty remains high due to the absence of concrete progress in the negotiations, heightening the risk of prolonged disruption to flows from the Persian Gulf. This, in turn, has intensified concerns that Europe may struggle to replenish gas inventories before winter, with storage currently only 38% full.