The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s closely watched GDPNow model now estimates U.S. real GDP growth at 2.8% for the second quarter of 2026, down from a previous reading of 3.3%. The updated figure, published on 16 June 2026, points to a moderate cooling in expected economic momentum as the quarter progresses.
While still signaling solid expansion, the revision suggests that incoming data on activity across key sectors may be softer than initially anticipated. The change in the GDPNow estimate within the same quarter underlines how sensitive short-term growth expectations are to new economic releases, and will likely be monitored closely by markets assessing the trajectory of the U.S. economy into the second half of 2026.
