The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model now projects U.S. real GDP growth of 4.8% for the third quarter of 2026, a slight uptick from the previous estimate of 4.6%. The updated reading, released on 1 September 2026, signals a modest strengthening in the near-term growth outlook for the U.S. economy.
The revision suggests that incoming economic data for the third quarter have been marginally stronger than previously anticipated, pushing the nowcast higher within the same period. While GDPNow is not an official forecast, the model-based estimate is closely tracked by markets and analysts as a high-frequency gauge of real-time economic momentum in the United States.
