Technical outlook:
Bitcoin rallied through $23,400-500 post FOMC on Wednesday. The crypto registered an intraday high at around $23,450 on Thursday, falling in line with our earlier projections. Intraday pullbacks are possible but prices should remain well capped above the $20,700 interim lows as bulls are poised to push towards the $29,000-400 zone in the next few weeks.
Bitcoin has been developing a larger-degree counter-trend rally since June 18, 2022, after printing lows at around $17,500. Earlier, it had dropped from the $69,000 all-time high to $17,500 in the fall consisting of three waves. The corrective wave is probably into its last leg, which should push the price to $29,400 as projected on the daily chart here.
Also, note that immediate price resistance is seen at around $32,200, which remains close to the proposed rally. If the price touches the downtrend line, it could reach up to the $34,000-35,000 zone before hitting resistance, both the trendline and the Fibonacci levels are seen on the chart here. Bitcoin is expected to produce a bearish bounce thereafter and decline below $17,500.
Going forward:
Bitcoin carved a recent lower-degree upswing between $18,900 and $24,300 as seen on the chart here. Further, it retraced towards the Fibonacci 0.618 level at around $20,700, producing a strong bullish reversal (a Morning Star candlestick pattern). A high probability remains for prices to stay above $18,700 and push through $29,400 in the next few weeks.
Trading plan:
Potential rally towards $29,400 against $20,500
Good luck!
