The dollar has been strengthening since the opening of today's trading day, and the EUR/USD pair has been declining accordingly. The new driver of the EUR/USD decline was today's statistics, published at the beginning of the European trading session, according to which the consumer price index (CPI) for the eurozone rose in May by +8.1% (in annual terms), which turned out to be higher than the forecast for growth by +7.7% and the previous value of +7.4%. The annual core CPI also rose stronger than the forecast and the previous value of +3.5%. Thus, inflation in the eurozone is accelerating, renewing record highs and forcing ECB leaders to accelerate decision-making to curb it.
At the time of writing this article, EUR/USD is trading near 1.0720, 57 pips below today's opening price. The price found support at 1.0740 (50 EMA on the daily chart).
If the EUR/USD decline continues, then a breakdown of the support level of 1.0677 (200 EMA on the 4-hour and 1-hour charts) will open its way deep into the descending channels on the daily and weekly charts and towards the level of 1.0355 (local bottom) and, probably, further, to the level of 1.0300, near which the boundaries of these channels pass.
In an alternative scenario, EUR/USD will resume growth. The first signal for the resumption of long positions will be a breakdown of the resistance level of 1.0740, and the confirming one will be the resistance levels of 1.0780 (local high and upper limit of the descending channel on the daily chart), 1.0810 (local bottom).
The growth target is the resistance levels 1.1040 (144 EMA on the daily chart), and 1.1165 (200 EMA on the daily chart), below which EUR/USD remains in the bearish market zone.
In the current situation, short positions remain preferable.
Support levels: 1.0677, 1.0600, 1.0500, 1.0485, 1.0400, 1.0355, 1.0300
Resistance levels: 1.0740, 1.0780, 1.0800, 1.0810, 1.1000, 1.1040, 1.1100, 1.1165, 1.1285
Trading Tips
Sell Stop 1.0670. Stop-Loss 1.0750. Take-Profit 1.0600, 1.0500, 1.0485, 1.0400, 1.0355, 1.0300
Buy Stop 1.0750. Stop-Loss 1.0670. Take-Profit 1.0780, 1.0800, 1.0810, 1.1000, 1.1040, 1.1100, 1.1165, 1.1285
