Trend analysis
GBP/USD may start moving down this week, starting from the level of 1.2411 (closing of the last weekly candle) to 1.2260, which is the 38.2% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon reaching this price, the pair will resume an upward movement towards 1.2499, which is a historical resistance level (blue dashed line).
Fig. 1 (weekly chart)
Comprehensive analysis:
Indicator analysis - downward
Fibonacci levels - downward
Volumes - downward
Candlestick analysis - downward
Trend analysis - upward
Bollinger bands - upward
Monthly chart - downward
All these point to a downward movement in GBP/USD.
Conclusion: The pair is likely to have a bearish trend, with no first upper shadow on the weekly black candle (Monday - downward) and a second lower shadow (Friday - upward).
So during the week, pound may begin falling from the level of 1.2411 (closing of the last weekly candle) to the 38.2% retracement level at 1.2260 (red dashed line), and then rise to the historical resistance level at 1.2499 (blue dashed line).
Alternatively, the quote could move down from 1.2411 (closing of last week's candle) to the 50.0% retracement level at 1.2167 (red dashed line), and then bounce back to the historical resistance level at 1.2499 (blue dashed line).
