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FX.co ★ Technical Analysis of BTC/USD for December 28, 2023

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Crypto Analysis:::2023-12-28T10:45:40

Technical Analysis of BTC/USD for December 28, 2023

MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Acquisition: A Deep Dive into Its Impact on BTC/USD

Crypto Industry News:

The holiday season is a time to buy gifts also for yourself. This is the assumption that Michael Saylor's company came up with, because MicroStrategy is making bitcoin purchases again. This time, the company purchased an additional 14,620 BTC. Thanks to this, Satoshi Nakamoto's capital held in cryptocurrency increased to USD 5.9 billion.

MicroStrategy is shopping for Bitcoina again. The company holds 189 150 BTC

Michael Saylor's company is known for regularly investing in Satoshi Nakamoto's cryptocurrency. It turns out that despite the end of the fourth quarter of 2023, MicroStrategy is making bitcoin purchases again. This time, the company spent approximately USD 615.7 million, purchasing 14,620 BTC. Thanks to this, the total amount of coins owned by MircoStrategy is 189,150 coins.

Technical Analysis of BTC/USD for December 28, 2023

It is worth adding that the company started buying bitcoins quite late, only in 2020. However, regular investments turned out to be a real hit, because Michael Saylor's company is currently the largest business holder of capital in BTC. At the beginning of December, MicroStrategy recorded over PLN 2 billion in profit from its investment in BTC. Moreover, MSTR shares have increased by 317% this year, putting the company among the elite group of companies valued at USD 5 billion and over USD 5 billion, in terms of share prices.

MicroStrategy, under the leadership of Michael Saylor, has become a prominent player in the cryptocurrency market, particularly in Bitcoin. Their strategy of significant Bitcoin acquisitions has had a notable impact on the BTC/USD trading pair.

Strategic Acquisitions

Volume of Acquisition: MicroStrategy's purchase of an additional 14,620 BTC has increased its total Bitcoin holdings to 189,150 BTC. This action represents one of the largest accumulations of Bitcoin by a publicly traded company.

Market Signal: Such a substantial investment by a major corporation is often viewed as a signal of confidence in the long-term value of Bitcoin. This can influence the perception of both retail and institutional investors, potentially leading to increased demand and upward pressure on BTC/USD prices.

Influence on Market Dynamics

Price Stability: Large-scale acquisitions by a single entity can contribute to price stabilization. By removing a significant amount of Bitcoin from the market, MicroStrategy's purchases can reduce volatility, as a substantial portion of available coins are held by a stable investor.

Long-Term Holders: MicroStrategy's approach to holding Bitcoin for the long term aligns with the strategy of many Bitcoin proponents, who believe in the cryptocurrency's value as a digital gold or a hedge against inflation.

Technical Analysis of BTC/USD for December 28, 2023

Perceived Risk and Reward

Investor Sentiment: The company's aggressive stance on Bitcoin investments can sway investor sentiment, possibly leading to more bullish behavior in the market.

Diversification: MicroStrategy's strategy also highlights the growing trend of corporate diversification of cash reserves into cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin. This move can be seen as a hedge against traditional financial market fluctuations and a bet on the increasing mainstream acceptance of digital currencies.

Impact of MicroStrategy Future Movements

Continued Investment: MicroStrategy's stated intention to continue accumulating Bitcoin can create anticipatory market behavior. If the market expects further purchases, it might lead to speculative price increases.

Market Influence: Given its status as a major Bitcoin holder, MicroStrategy's future decisions regarding its Bitcoin holdings will be closely watched by the market. Any indication of selling or even a slowdown in acquisition could impact the BTC/USD price.

Technical Market Outlook:

Trend Analysis

The EMA 100 (Exponential Moving Average) and DEMA 50 (Double Exponential Moving Average) are close to the current price, indicating a possible consolidation phase where the price is not strongly trending up or down.

The red horizontal line at the top represents a strong resistance level where price has formed multiple rejections, as indicated by the "Pin Bar - Bearish Doji" and "Shooting Star" candlestick patterns, which are bearish reversal indicators.

The "MAX" label near the red line suggests this is the maximum price reached in this period, reinforcing it as a resistance area.

Candlestick Patterns

There are several candlestick patterns labeled, such as "Bearish Engulfing" and "Shooting Star," both of which typically indicate bearish sentiment and potential reversals when found near resistance levels.

Support and Resistance

There are visible support levels marked by green horizontal lines. These levels represent areas where the price has previously bounced upwards, indicating buying interest.

Indicators

The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 47.72, which is in the neutral zone (between 30 and 70), suggesting there is neither strong buying nor selling pressure currently dominating the market.

Trading Insights

Given the proximity to the resistance level and the bearish candlestick patterns, caution is warranted for bullish positions as there is a potential for price reversal. However, since the RSI is neutral, and the moving averages are close to the price, there is no strong momentum indicated in either direction.

The Intraday H1 Indicator Signals:

- 14 out of 21 technical indicators are showing Sell signal, 3 shows a Buy signal and 4 is Neutral

- 13 out of 18 moving averages are showing Sell signal and 5 is showing Buy signal

Sentiment Scoreboard:

The general sentiment on the scoreboard is bullish (75% vs.25% bears). Last week sentiment remains bullish as well (74% bulls vs.26% bears) together with the last three days sentiment (73% bulls vs. 27% bears).

Weekly Pivot Points:

Pivot Points are key price levels used in technical analysis to identify potential trend reversals, support, and resistance levels in financial markets.

WR3 - $46,701

WR2 - $44,628

WR1 - $43,514

Weekly Pivot - $42,554

WS1 - $41,441

WS2 - $40,481

WS3 - $38,408

Long-Term Trading Outlook:

The recent breakout above the trend line resistance might be indication of the up trend resumption. The next long term target for the bulls is set at $48,200 as the potential for a sustained long-term uptrend remains, provided the critical level of $19,572 is not decisively violated. The key long-term technical support is located at the level of $32,829 and $31,790.

Useful Links

Important Reminder

The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctuations due to increased volatility. If you decide to trade during the news release, then always place stop orders to minimize losses.

Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes. For successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan and stay focues and disciplined. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for a scalper or daytrader.

#instaforex #analysis #sebastianseliga

Analyst InstaForex
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