Early in the American session, gold is trading around 2,031.25, retreating after having reached the daily high for now around 2,035. Gold is benefitting, as below it has the 21 SMA, the 200 EMA, and 3/8 Murray, which gives it strong support.
However, in the chart, we see that gold is trading within a main downtrend channel. If it falls in the next few hoursand breaks the secondary uptrend channel formed since January 17, it could quickly reach the psychological level of $2,000.
In the next few hours, PMIs will be released in the United States which could cause a trend reversal in the instrument or could serve to strengthen the secondary uptrend. Then, we could expect gold to reach the top of the main downtrend channel around 2,040. Besides, if there is a break in this zone, we could expect the price to quickly reach 6/8 Murray around 2,062.
On the other hand, if the US PMIs are positive for the US dollar, then we could expect gold to break out sharply from the secondary uptrend channel. Only if it consolidates below the 200 EMA, then it would be a good opportunity to sell below 2,025 with the target at $2,000.
The eagle indicator is giving a negative signal which supports our bearish strategy. So, while gold is trading below 2,040, any technical rebound could be seen as an opportunity to sell.
